Robust estimation of the Hurst parameter and selection of an onset scaling
نویسندگان
چکیده
We consider the problem of estimating the Hurst parameter for long-range dependent processes using wavelets. Wavelet techniques have shown to effectively exploit the asymptotic linear relationship that forms the basis of constructing an estimator. However, it has been noticed that the commonly adopted standard wavelet estimator is vulnerable to various non-stationary phenomena that increasingly occur in practice and thus leads to unreliable results. In this paper, we propose a new wavelet method for estimating the Hurst parameter that is robust to non-stationarities such as peaks, valleys, and trends. We point out that the new estimator arises as a simple alternative to the standard estimator and does not require an additional correction term, which is subject to distributional assumptions. Additionally, we address the issue of selecting scales for the wavelet estimator, which is critical to properly exploit the asymptotic relationship. We propose a new method based on standard regression diagnostic tools, which is easy to implement and useful to provide informative goodness-of-fit measures. Several simulated examples are used for illustration and comparison. The proposed method is also applied to the estimation of the Hurst parameter of Internet traffic packet counts data.
منابع مشابه
CREDIBILISTIC PARAMETER ESTIMATION AND ITS APPLICATION IN FUZZY PORTFOLIO SELECTION
In this paper, a maximum likelihood estimation and a minimum entropy estimation for the expected value and variance of normal fuzzy variable are discussed within the framework of credibility theory. As an application, a credibilistic portfolio selection model is proposed, which is an improvement over the traditional models as it only needs the predicted values on the security returns instead of...
متن کاملA Robust Distributed Estimation Algorithm under Alpha-Stable Noise Condition
Robust adaptive estimation of unknown parameter has been an important issue in recent years for reliable operation in the distributed networks. The conventional adaptive estimation algorithms that rely on mean square error (MSE) criterion exhibit good performance in the presence of Gaussian noise, but their performance drastically decreases under impulsive noise. In this paper, we propose a rob...
متن کاملSingle station estimation of earthquake early warning parameters by using amplitude envelope curve
In this study, new empirical relationships to estimate key parameters in Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) system including magnitude, epicentral distance and Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) are introduced based on features of the initial portion of P-wave’s amplitude envelope curve. For this purpose, 226 time series recorded by bore-hole accelerometers of Japanese KiK-net are processed for earthq...
متن کاملHurst Parameter Estimation for Epileptic Seizure Detection
Estimation of the Hurst parameter provides information about the memory range or correlations (long vs. short) of processes (time-series). A new application for the Hurst parameter, real-time event detection, is identified. Hurst estimates using rescaled range, dispersional and bridgedetrended scaled windowed variance analyses of seizure time-series recorded from human subjects reliably detect ...
متن کاملThe analysis of residuals variation and outliers to obtain robust response surface
In this paper, the main idea is to compute the robust regression model, derived by experimentation, in order to achieve a model with minimum effects of outliers and fixed variation among different experimental runs. Both outliers and nonequality of residual variation can affect the response surface parameter estimation. The common way to estimate the regression model coefficients is the ordinar...
متن کامل